Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
And therein lies the problem. You can’t accurately calculate a probability if you don’t know what it is you’re calculating the probability of. In this case the rules of the game are unclear (whether there are ‘rounds’, how each round is played and whether things done in one round affect the next).
It is possible to produce a definitive answer, but only if there’s a definitive question.
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The definitive question is, should you stay with your first choice or swap to the other unknown.