Quote:
Originally Posted by pip08456
I always wondered why Ukraine kept publising they were going on the offensive in Kherson, it now seems apparent. It was always to pave the way for the Kharkiv offensive which would cut off a major logistics hub for both east and south Ukraine. Adding to the destrction of the bridges suppling Kherson from the south this now could lead to the encirclement of Russian forces north of the river.
The Kharkiv operation has almost certainly led to a rout of Russian forces although Russian MOD have said they've been withdrawn to bolster the Donetsk.
I wonder if a rout in Kherson will now follow?
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Kherson is less likely to witness an outright collapse because the Ukrainian strategy has been to draw in a lot of Russian personnel and equipment, then win a steady war of attrition for the city.
Ukraine has also destroyed or seriously damaged all the river crossings south and east of Kherson so if the Russians are making a run for it they are doing so on foot and leaving everything they can’t physically carry.
A rout here would be an abject disaster in its own right, not to mention bringing the future of Crimea into play. Russia won’t budge easily.