Quote:
Originally Posted by Carth
Right, so as I'm reading all the highly intelligent replies (which don't actually say anything apart from 'we're right you're wrong'), I can see that 2 of 30 in the same room sharing a birthday is a definite statistical probability, whereas 2 from 40 sharing the same christian and (uncommon) surname is simply too absurd to be considered a statistic.
Truth be told, both are simply coincidences, bugger all to do with statistics.
P.S. question regarding members birthdays still not answered
. . . and probably won't be
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Your verbosity is a very thin disguise for your refusal to understand the way these things work. As I said earlier, accessible introductions to the discipline are out there and easy to find and read, if you so choose.
Sorry if you’re finding your demands for the rest of us to do your homework for you are going unfulfilled but that’s your lookout. Statistics is applied maths, and in the case of opinion polling it produces useful results, provided the techniques are correctly followed and the caveats properly understood and allowed for. It isn’t guesswork, no matter how many times you’ve heard your local pub bore declaring it to be the case.