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Old 21-04-2022, 15:48   #1752
Carth
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Join Date: Jul 2004
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Re: All those No.10 lockdown parties

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
Statistics is not the same as guesswork, no matter how many times you say it…

The problem a lot of people have with Statistics (as a Branch of Mathematics) is that it can often be counterintuitive, which can confuse people (because they find it difficult to understand, they dismiss it).

For example, how many people would have to be in a room before it was likely there would be two with the same birthday?

Spoiler: 
30


https://www.statisticshowto.com/same-birthday-odds/

Amazing, what a coincidence (see what I did there) that 2 of 30 people in a room have the same birthday.

How many people use this forum daily . . . and how many share the same birthday?

*knocks the ball back over to you . .

edit: I've just remembered something that may interest you.
Years ago I used to drink in a pub (before it was knocked down and turned into rabbit hutches) and 2 people in the bar had the same name (both christian & surname), and it wasn't a common name like John Smith or Dave Brown (although there was actually one of those present).
Funnily enough one is white (no not the name) and the other was black (I say was because now he's ethnic/brown/dark skinned/asian etc etc)
Statistically then, in a group of 40 people drinking in a public bar, 2 of them will share the exact same name . . . am I right?
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Last edited by Carth; 21-04-2022 at 16:03.
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