Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
BTG (Battalion Tactical Group) 
I’m pretty sure Ukraine is getting what it needs - at least as much as has been publicly promised, and faster than most people realise.
It’s also important not to get overawed by the breathless reporting coming out of eastern Ukraine this evening about the Russian offensive having begun. As you say, the Russian army is operating to a purely political objective at present (the artificial 9 May deadline) rather than a realistic, achievable military one. It just doesn’t have the manpower, the equipment or the supplies to sustain what it is attempting. Plus Ukraine is busily denying it access to what it does have by choking its supply lines, just as it did around Kyiv.
This will be no cake walk for the Ukrainian forces but Russia didn’t get things all its own way when it started this, and it’s starting this next phase in a far worse state than before. |
I agree entirely with you Chris, It is now reported that 75-79 BTG's are involved in the Russian offensive in the Donbas region yet no weight is being given to the Ukrainian attacks on supply lines. There is no way that number of BTG'S can be supported if their supply line (logistical support) is cut by 66%. That is what the Ukrianians are trying to do, the final supply line will then be subject to possible drone attacks and rendered non-viable. Remains to be seen.
Don't forget Ukraine has been fighting a war in the Donbas area since 2014 without assistance (arms etc) from NATO, now that they have that assistance it may turn out differently. The next couple of days will tell.