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Originally Posted by Carth
Is that an admittance that polls can be wrong . . or misleading?  |
That polling is not a precise science but usually gets pretty close. You should expect them to be within a few percentage points - what's why there is a margin of error - but if you think about it being able to relatively reliability get within a few percent of the actual result of a vote in which millions took part is pretty good.
If it was wrong the other way, let's say Remain won by 54% instead of the roughly 51-52% the average of polls suggested, everyone would be saying they were pretty accurate.
The issue with Brexit wasn't so much the polling itself but pundits had when interpreting the polls that they were underestimating the Remain lead giving more confidence to the Remain lead than worrying about how close it was.