Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris
And this is precisely the problem with so much of the media commentary we are presently surrounded with. There is a received wisdom that Putin’s a strategic grand master and the Russian military is vast and fearsome. It has been extremely difficult for us to believe the evidence of our eyes in the face of this.
The reality is that the Russians have been halted almost everywhere; northwest of Kyiv a significant number of them are now surrounded by Ukrainian troops, and everywhere else they are critically low on supplies. Even in the southeast, they’re hardly winning a military victory at Mariupol. They’re simply erasing it from the map.
NATO’s latest casualty estimate is based on careful research, including signals intelligence, which means to some extent the information is coming from the Russians themselves, albeit involuntarily. They’re not simply taking as gospel whatever they hear from the Ukrainian government. If you haven’t checked out Phillips O’Brien or Mike Martin on Twatter yet, you really should. Their calm, academic analysis is based on research and experience, not a predetermined editorial line (or, indeed, a reluctance to admit they may have grossly overestimated the effectiveness of the Russian military prior to this conflict).
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This offensive has proven that Russia is no match for NATO, like almost Iraqi standards…
But, if this goes the way as being reported in the last 48hrs, if Russia fail to take Kiev, and the other objectives, if Ukraine manage to neutralise the Russian invasion ( as I say a massive if ) I don’t know where that leaves us..globally. I don’t know where that leaves Russia. Not a Superpower. A nuclear power yes, but so is North Korea and no one takes them seriously.
If Ukraine are moving to a position to be able to neutralise the a Russian advance In finality I don’t know if I should be happy or bricking it.