[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by Hugh

Well, it’s like most subjects - it’s easier to extend your knowledge of an area of knowledge if you’ve had a basic /introduction grounding in it…

---------- Post added at 19:50 ---------- Previous post was at 19:40 ----------

Show us your working - how do you arrive at the point of Muslims being in a majority in 90 years?

I did a quick excel spreadsheet using some basic assumptions (starting at 3.4 million Muslims in this country at this time, 5 members in each family (2 parents and 3 kids, which is the current U.K. Muslim fertility rate, increasing this to 4 children per couple every 30 years)) - in 3 generations of 30 years, assuming no one died (doubtful, since the current generation would be over 120), the Muslim population would be 36 million out of the 2110 U.K. forecast population of 97 million…

This, of course, is totally rubbish, because that actual ONS forecast is that by 2030 the U.K. Muslim fertility rate is 2.5 per family - this backs up the Pew findings that 2rd and 3rd generation Muslims in Europe have less children than the original immigrants.

I did it fag packet style a couple of years ago so don't have the workings to hand. if your first calculation is even vaguely correct, then 30+ million out of 97 million is alarming to me. Again on a fag packet basis of 2.5 per family, that's still in excess of 18 million. So, if my 90 years is wrong, then some time in the future it'll happen - because there is a design.