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Old 02-03-2022, 12:57   #612
Hugh
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Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees View Post
Be interested to see how much further they can ratchet up.

At some point NATO/The west are going to face an agonising decision, namely do we get involved in a military conflict with Russia? Or, do we abandon Ukraine to the Russians..

Whilst something is clearly off with the Russian approach, ultimately, with enough resources/time they will take Ukraine. We can give the Ukranians weapons & humanitarian aid all we want but if there is not a reasonably trained force to be able to deploy them.....
I think (not based on evidence) that the neighbouring Slavic Countries may take a more "active" role if it gets worse for Ukraine - they all remember what it was like being part of the Soviet Hegemony as satellite/subjugated States.

The challenge will be if those Slavic States which are NATO members are attacked in turn by the Russians, they can then invoke the NATO Treaty which states it will help defend any member of NATO which is attacked.

Flip-side is that if they don’t do anything, they are probably pretty sure they’ll be next, so just Putin the problem off won’t solve anything medium to long term.
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