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Blackshep · 02-03-2022, 01:29

As at least one member is anxious about the reports of nuclear weapon's and dirty bomb's let me say please stop worrying Richard we are not on the brink of a nuclear escalation or even remotely close. The Russians missile regiments have three main training exercises a year with one being end of February, beginning of March Putin has simply televised the routine order for dramatic affect and to cause a stir so please calm yourself.

Right now there are thousands of Russian government employee's on social media based out of the FSB social media department in St Petersburg and the foreign ministry in Moscow so even more then normal social media is not a reliable source of information. As for the 40 mile convoy it is stalled by lack of fuel which has been caused by successful attack's on Russian supply infrastructure by Ukrainian military and militia's although given the utter chaos within these Russian forces they didn't have to work too hard.

Russia's slow advance and failure to seize any of their day 1 & 2 objectives is down to two factor's far greater resistance from the Ukrainian military and their citizens and secondly the Russian forces are demoralised and few have any real enthusiasm for this invasion. Many Russian troop's were told they would be welcomed by Ukrainians as they were not invader's but liberators something they learned was a lie quite quickly.

Putin is encountering a great deal of internal opposition and the sanction's have many of his backer's starting to change their position and advice. The longer this goes on the more precarious Putin's position is, he needed this invasion to succeed quickly and for Russian forces not to become bogged down which is exactly what's happening. The issue is that Putin has backed himself into a corner and to backtrack now would likely be the end for him but he cannot issue a nuclear escalation in isolation as with most nuclear armed nation's there is a structure in place that has to unanimously agree to their release and use at this point even if Putin were to give such a ludicrous order it's extremely unlikely it would happen.

Apologies for any spelling or grammar error's but I'm at the end of what caffeine can do and catching up on this thread it was clear some were anxious I bid you all goodnight I'm off for a kip.

02-03-2022, 01:29	#599
Blackshep cf.addict Join Date: Oct 2021 Posts: 113	Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine As at least one member is anxious about the reports of nuclear weapon's and dirty bomb's let me say please stop worrying Richard we are not on the brink of a nuclear escalation or even remotely close. The Russians missile regiments have three main training exercises a year with one being end of February, beginning of March Putin has simply televised the routine order for dramatic affect and to cause a stir so please calm yourself. Right now there are thousands of Russian government employee's on social media based out of the FSB social media department in St Petersburg and the foreign ministry in Moscow so even more then normal social media is not a reliable source of information. As for the 40 mile convoy it is stalled by lack of fuel which has been caused by successful attack's on Russian supply infrastructure by Ukrainian military and militia's although given the utter chaos within these Russian forces they didn't have to work too hard. Russia's slow advance and failure to seize any of their day 1 & 2 objectives is down to two factor's far greater resistance from the Ukrainian military and their citizens and secondly the Russian forces are demoralised and few have any real enthusiasm for this invasion. Many Russian troop's were told they would be welcomed by Ukrainians as they were not invader's but liberators something they learned was a lie quite quickly. Putin is encountering a great deal of internal opposition and the sanction's have many of his backer's starting to change their position and advice. The longer this goes on the more precarious Putin's position is, he needed this invasion to succeed quickly and for Russian forces not to become bogged down which is exactly what's happening. The issue is that Putin has backed himself into a corner and to backtrack now would likely be the end for him but he cannot issue a nuclear escalation in isolation as with most nuclear armed nation's there is a structure in place that has to unanimously agree to their release and use at this point even if Putin were to give such a ludicrous order it's extremely unlikely it would happen. Apologies for any spelling or grammar error's but I'm at the end of what caffeine can do and catching up on this thread it was clear some were anxious I bid you all goodnight I'm off for a kip.