Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 20-12-2021, 17:27   #922
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
If you believe we do Government by briefings/leaks a two week circuit breaker for England starting 28th seems to be the outcome of the Cabinet meeting.

That said the Mirror have Step 2 restrictions for 4 weeks from 27th. Maybe they’re using the whole country as a big focus group.
I've always maintained these "leaks" are unhelpful at best and cause havoc with people's MH at the worst.


The cabinet have met today, so what? It might just be a regular thing where they go through the figures, latest info from Whitty and Vallance, etc etc, who knows they might even be planning the latest pizza night, quiz, cheese and wine on the terraces outside number 10, etc etc.


Let's also not forget that even though it's a point of order it's still an important point that laws aren't made by Javid, or Boris, or the Cabinet, the next stages are actually made by Parliament, this much was actually promised by Javid when he made the announcements on Plan B to Hoyle, that any further restrictions would go before Parliament in the first instance, and MPs would need to be recalled which needs 24 hours notice


There's little chance of anything changing before Christmas and one would suggest by then that the talks of a full lockdown or "stage 2" returning would be too little too late if the current case numbers are going to overwhelm the NHS (which of course, they may or may not do). If there are gaps in this data, then you can understand why the ministers least in favour of restrictions (such as Sunak) would want to go for anything more. Thing is this is always a balancing act as with a lot of things by the time you notice a trend and know enough about it, it can also be too late.



It would definitely be a kick in the teeth to people who have done the right thing - you can see that with the booster ramp up over the last week, that people are scaling back their Christmas plans, not meeting as many people, taking LFTs before doing things, this will happen naturally, we don't need their pizza parties to tell us what to do really.


The first thing we should know of new restrictions should be the proposal in Parliament with the MPs voting on it, then a press conference with BJ or a senior minister to announce the restrictions to the nation.



I would say they do absolutely need an escalation tactic if things do get worse in the hospitals, but this should be based on clear data - for example, if hospital admissions/number in hospital/number in intensive care reach a certain number, then we do this, if it reaches a higher number we close shops/pubs, ban indoor mixing, etc etc - and more crucially, if we then get the situation back below that number, then the situation is reversed automatically (might need a few days below that level to be sure). That way your info is driving your restrictions and it's not left to the whims of scientists, politicians, the media, etc etc. If we did go back to "stage 2" even if it was for a month then what? Would we have to go back through last year's stage 3 or would it just all get lifted? Would they have to work out another exit plan, which is always the issue with restrictions? Or just another 3 weeks to flatten the curve?

---------- Post added at 17:27 ---------- Previous post was at 17:25 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees View Post
Regardless of which of those two options they choose (if they do choose one of those two) They have got to get financial support in for the hospitality industry. It will be damaged to the point of utter devastation
For now I would just issue guidance about indoor mixing.



Only do if it's necessary and if you do keep distance, keep ventilated, do LFTs.
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