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Originally Posted by jfman
What is the natural ceiling for Omicron given 2x vaccine efficacy near zero (actually zero for some vaccines), 3x vaccine efficacy 60% (and probably will wane) and previous infection unknown?
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I haven’t seen those figures, everything I’ve seen is around 60% for two and above 75% for three.
And there is still precious little data here on severity of illness.
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As for enforcement I don’t see that being much of a challenge. There have been rule breakers in every lockdown. The new ones will be offset by those concerned as figures rise - the number of people voluntarily changing plans and cancelling Christmas parties etc show the public to be massively risk averse even when figures are low
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There’s plenty of parties still going ahead, Mrs Pierre has hers next week. Pubs are still busy, I was in one last night, not a spare table in sight.
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. If they don’t the solution is to extend restrictions for as long as required to bring hospitalisations down sufficiently.
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Hospitalisations are still below Oct/Nov levels, they’ll have to go up before we need to bring them down, we also don’t know what the upper limit is.