Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 17-12-2021, 21:51   #789
jfman
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaymoss View Post
There is a hell of a lot of people taking tests though so it stands to reason more cases will be found. But it is an horrendous infection rate

my butt will keep twitching till the middle of Jan when we will know the true danger of omicron
It's worth noting that testing is demand led. Based on symptoms, being a close contact or some other reason.

If 600,000 people just tested for entertainment value there's no reason to expect to get more positives than the ONS study. Conveniently, that's 1 in 60.

So it would impact the figures would be 10,000. Test positivity would drop.

As we reach testing capacity - people are unable to get tests online, in pharmacies, or book a PCR in a reasonable timeframe the usefulness of the data reduce. The ONS survey on the other hand will continue to reflect increases/decreases in prevalence due to it's model not relying on demand (or supply!).
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