[Pierre]

on 1st Nov there were 9670 people in Hospital with Covid, last week 9th Dec there were 7413.

No one was claiming the NHS was about to go under in November .Maybe there was but I didn't see much about it, there was no talk of restrictions.

on the 4th Nov there were 1034 on ventilation beds on the 9th Dec there were 900

on the 27th Oct the daily hospitalisation rate was 1150 on the 6th Dec it was 839.

I don't doubt for one second that these figures will rise, they may get back to early November levels, they may even exceed early November levels.

But the trigger wasn't pulled in early November, which means the Government were OK with those levels.

The fact they have (half) pulled the trigger without data is alarming.

We are not in the situation we were in, in 2020 and early 2021, where you could argue that being cautious and even over cautious was acceptable.

81% have had two Jabs

a further 8% have just the one (most of them will be in the 12-16 category as that was the advice)

and even an impressive 40% have had three (I need to sort mine out this week)

There's approx 9M of the population under 12, which is approx 13%.

Most (I would argue) of the unvaccinated are those that medically can't be and children under 12, that gain no benefit from it.

considering 89% of the population have had the first Jab and 13% been told they don't need it, that really makes the hard core anti-vaxxers, in reality a pretty small number.

Plus there'll be some in that hard core anti-vax that will probably have some natural immunity.

So the vaccines would have to just not work at all, to get to anything that resembles last year.

In short, I can't see how the case for any restrictions at the moment has been made.