[Pierre]

Originally Posted by Hugh

It’s an explanation of how exponential growth in infections work.

But not in this specific case………..

---------- Post added at 22:37 ---------- Previous post was at 22:30 ----------

Originally Posted by nffc

Well, look at the number of confirmed omicron cases in the UK and then realise the actual number is much higher.


It is suspected to be more transmissible than Delta, so will more likely outcompete it.


It is suspected to be able to evade vaccine immunity.


It is suspected to be able to evade immunity from previous infection.


(though with the latter two points this is going to be partial but no doubt significant).


It is suspected to be a milder illness, though the data is not known as to how much and how much this will affect hospitalisations.

So we don’t know…………

TBF you’ve laid it out, and managed to say nothing we don’t already know

There is enough cause for the WHO to designate it a VOC
There is enough evidence for community transmission i.e. confirmed cases from people who have no links to the affected areas in Africa
There is a possibility that this will cause a high number of infection within days which may lead to a hospitalisation level which could overwhelm the available capacity

Possibly, may, FFS.

If these actions reduce transmission whilst the full facts are determined it could stop the infections etc spiralling out of control. If it's not going to work, they should and probably will relax them.

That paragraph was interesting………….should…yes. Probably will……….hmmm