Thread: Coronavirus
View Single Post
Old 16-11-2021, 16:18   #8203
jonbxx
cf.mega poster
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: #Plagueisland
Age: 54
Services: VM VIP Pack
Posts: 1,712
jonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appeal
jonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appealjonbxx has a bronzed appeal
Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by pip08456 View Post
Here you go. Data for week 36.



Source https://assets.publishing.service.go..._-_week_36.pdf
That's some good data right there on effectiveness of vaccines. It looks like the hospitalisation rate for the most vulnerable unvaccinated group aged (80+ years) is roughly 112.9 per 100,000.

The ONS estimates the total population of England aged 80+ is 2,855,599
so if vaccinations were not present, that would be 3,224 hospitalisations between weeks 32 and 25. Instead, there were 1,146.

Of course, if we went the other way and (theoretically) vaccinated everyone, the hospitalisation rate of 37.4 per 100,000 would give you 1,068.

Vaccines work - they look to have prevented 2,078 hospitalisations over that period with a further 78 possible if we got to 100% vaccination. Nice!

(this report is a bit of a fudge as it uses the 'within 28 days of a positive specimen' measure and the general hospitalisation rate of 80+ is very high anyway so it may be the case that the vaccine is more protective than my estimates show as those protected may not present at hospital for a COVID related reason)
jonbxx is offline