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Re: Africa has the lowest caseload in the world
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Originally Posted by Dude111
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https://healthpolicy-watch.org/africa-covid-caseload/
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WHO Estimates Africa’s COVID-19 Caseload is Seven Times Higher Than Official Count
Africa is estimated to have seven times more COVID-19 cases and three times as many deaths as officially reported, according to the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa region.
This means that the continent could have around 59 million cases and 634,500 deaths.
“We’re using a model to estimate the degree of under-estimation. Our analysis indicates that as few as one in seven cases is being detected, meaning that the true COVID-19 burden in Africa could be around 59 million people,” said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, WHO’s Africa executive director.
“The proportion of underreporting on deaths is lower. Estimates such as around one in three deaths have been reported. Deaths appear to be low on the continent, in part because of the predominantly younger and more active population,” she told a media briefing on Thursday.
The case figure was extrapolated from country-based seroprevalence surveys while the mortality figure was reached on the basis of excess death statistics, said WHO’s team lead on operational partnerships, Dr Thierno Balde.
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---------- Post added at 09:47 ---------- Previous post was at 09:44 ----------
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Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Yes, and that is what was happening. However, as I have reminded you on several occasions, what happened later was that the more infectious Kent variant struck. That is what changed things and that is why the government’s position on Christmas freedom had to change.
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But people said at the time letting the virus infect more people would increase the likelihood of variants occurring, and lo and behold, this happened…
The thing you keep quoting as unforeseeable was very foreseeable.
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