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Originally Posted by pip08456
In fairness to OB he made his statement (not prediction) based on these graphs. They certainly look close to zero following plan A rather than plan B for November through July.
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But where is the source that outlines the underlying assumptions? Because if it’s the same model I saw in the Mail (which it looks very much like) it projects people “remaining cautious” for a year, with the alternative being Plan B plus a return to 2019 activity in three months.
Comparing apples with oranges.