Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 01-11-2021, 12:13   #7918
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman View Post
I’m not willing anything - I’m telling you it’s inevitable there’s a nuanced difference.

Considering the amount of deeply held (and inaccurate) beliefs you’ve spouted through this thread it’s somewhat ironic that you ask others to evidence theirs.

Hospitalisations continue to rise, deaths continue to rise. That has an inevitable outcome.

A model (I note you say “models” but you have only sourced one) is just a prediction - without knowing how their inputs align with the real world (waning efficacy, reinfections, booster efficacy and rollout) it’s impossible to have one held up as sacrosanct.

I think according to the models in the Spectator we’ve hit herd immunity three times now.
Probably would have without the Delta variant and maybe even without Alpha before it.


When it's more transmissible, and has a higher R number, you need more people for herd immunity.


Delta does seem to be very good at seeking out unvaccinated and people who haven't had the virus.
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