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Originally Posted by OLD BOY
https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...gests-12444117
[EXTRACT]
Coronavirus cases could fall significantly in November without any restrictions being reintroduced, modelling seen by the government suggests.
Experts at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) have predicted that - even without the government's 'Plan B' - COVID cases, hospital admissions and deaths in England will peak in November and start to fall rapidly to much lower levels by Christmas.
According to their modelling, if the government reintroduces restrictions, delaying 'back-to-normal' behaviour until the spring, there will still be a drop in the coming weeks, but rates will rise again much faster next year.
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Interestingly, those paragraphs don’t actually say what you claim they do. There’s no comparison of the overall number of infections under both models, nor hospitalisations or deaths.
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Originally Posted by OLD BOY
infection rate would be better with Plan A than Plan B. I’ll drink to that.
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In other news the behavioural scientists and sociologists of the JCVI have finally released the minutes of their May meeting confirming the strategy of using mass infection of children to boost immunity in the population. Little wonder they held off on publication until after the strategy had been carried out, rushed out on a Friday night to be buried under COP 26 coverage.