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Originally Posted by OLD BOY
But we don’t know for sure that the restrictions did work, or whether any perceived beneficial effects would have happened anyway.
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This is a nonsense. There’s plenty of scientific evidence to support the impacts of all of the measures on the R number. These are the basis for the Government Plan B, presumably endorsed by Whitty et al who you were quick to talk up a mere few posts ago.
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The lockdown was clearly effective in lowering the numbers, but the later ‘four levels’ approach - we cannot be absolutely sure about that. I’m sure Andy Burnham would have something to say about that - his area had severe restrictions for many months and those figures just wouldn’t comedown.
Anyway, the situation now looks much brighter and the scientists are even predicting that the infection rate would be better with Plan A than Plan B. I’ll drink to that.
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Is there a source for this claim you keep trotting out because the Government don’t sound so sure on that to me.
As for Andy Burnham the question must be why his region is the exception, not the rule.