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Re: Coronavirus
The thing is, none of us can see where this is going. All of us can suggest where it might but that's not going to necessarily be right.
With the benefit of hindsight those who are saying we need restrictions now may well be right, this downward trend over the next few days may turn into a spike again when the kids are back, we need more than Plan B by that stage as everyone's vaccines drop like scales from Saul's eyes, and the hospitals have to treat people in the street.
Or we could see that this trend is the buffers, cases dip and go back to very low levels (<1000 a day), hospitalisations and deaths become almost unheard of.
Both of those are extreme and unlikely to happen any time soon though.
In all likelihood the SAGE modelling will probably be over-pessimistic as it usually has been, though even that is suggesting now that the current measures will be enough.
I wasn't really posting on here during the earlier stages but I don't need hindsight to tell you that I was in favour of all three periods of national restrictions, a week or so before, and tighter controls internationally, along with faster roll out of the vaccines. I just don't see that anything in the current trends suggests it is suddenly going to roar out of control.
And people will always use their common sense, or enough will anyway, and lessen their activities, work from home, wear masks more to control it anyway. We don't need the government to tell us this. All the Labour people should be following the leader and doing it now he's finally committed to today's Plan B stance...
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