[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by OLD BOY

So far, the metrics relating to hospitals show a slight upward fluctuation, but nothing to worry about yet. That is set to decline again from a news report I heard recently, and if that happens, there is no need to panic.

If the graphs start to show signs of going steadily upwards, we may need to consider the position again, but until or unless that happens, no further restrictions are necessary.

By the way, that’s what the government and Whitty think as well, so that’s good enough for most people.

The hospitalisations must lag the infections - say by at least a week. The deaths must lag the hospitalisations - say by at least two weeks.

If there's a downward trend on infections, the other metrics will follow.
Didn't I do some fag packet maths on this?