Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 20-10-2021, 17:57   #7695
Hugh
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by nffc View Post
…snippety snip snip…
But I don't think it's fully known yet how much asymptomatic people do spread it, considering that in reality, they aren't going to be doing much which would, compared to someone with the virus (i.e. they aren't going to be coughing, sneezing etc) and how much aerosol spread from simply breathing or talking is not understood yet particularly how this actually dissipates for a while..
…snippety snip snip…
From my post
Quote:
In conclusions, our SARS-CoV-2 RNA loads measures in upper respiratory tract samples revealed that asymptomatic outpatients shed significant levels of infectious virus in their respiratory tract playing a major role as viral transmitters in various epidemiological transmission chains, promoting COVID-19 resurgence.
And

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2774707
Quote:
Results The baseline assumptions for the model were that peak infectiousness occurred at the median of symptom onset and that 30% of individuals with infection never develop symptoms and are 75% as infectious as those who do develop symptoms. Combined, these baseline assumptions imply that persons with infection who never develop symptoms may account for approximately 24% of all transmission. In this base case, 59% of all transmission came from asymptomatic transmission, comprising 35% from presymptomatic individuals and 24% from individuals who never develop symptoms. Under a broad range of values for each of these assumptions, at least 50% of new SARS-CoV-2 infections was estimated to have originated from exposure to individuals with infection but without symptoms.
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Last edited by Hugh; 20-10-2021 at 18:02.
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