Quote:
Originally Posted by nffc
Well, 800-900 per day (provided it isn't concentrated in a particular area) across the country is probably manageable
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Given that on any given day UK hospital admissions can be around the 56,000 mark, 800-900 due to COVID is only 1.14%
---------- Post added at 09:35 ---------- Previous post was at 09:29 ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1
It's not so much the uptick in infections but the increase in hospitalisations and deaths.
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It's not even hospitalisations as that can vary from someone rocking up at A&E with Covid symptoms and being sent home with a packet of Paracetamol 4 hours later to someone not being able to breathe arriving by ambulance.
The number of COVID patients in ICU/HDU and Deaths should be the metrics.
---------- Post added at 09:44 ---------- Previous post was at 09:35 ----------
According to the Nuffield trust there are 6,270 critical care beds in the NHS (I think England only)
at the moment there is 823 COVID on Ventilation (so that may not even be in ICU)
so that's 13% - I don't know at what level it would be deemed a concern.
Obviously beds does not equal Staff, but the NHS have had enough time to be ready for any winter spike, which given the vaccination program, I would think it impossible for it to reach the levels of late 2020 - if it does it would just prove that the vaccinations don't work!