Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 17-09-2021, 09:22   #7262
Sephiroth
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx View Post
True, the behaviours shown over the June/July period weren't expected with older people staying at home more than was thought but hey, that's science, the modelling will be improved and refined to reflect these learnings.
Presumably you are referring to the science of modelling.
The unexpected behaviours of people can't really be modelled; one month's behaviour X can't be modelled in terms of another month's behaviour Y unless all the variable factors are understood - which they can't be.

The way to do this, imo, is to publish a set of models based on different behaviour assumptions. This has a greater chance of influencing behaviour. Such models cam be refined in the light of actuality and thus avoid being ridiculed.



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