17-09-2021, 09:22
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#7262
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Wisdom & truth
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: RG41
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Posts: 12,445
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Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx
True, the behaviours shown over the June/July period weren't expected with older people staying at home more than was thought but hey, that's science, the modelling will be improved and refined to reflect these learnings.
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Presumably you are referring to the science of modelling.
The unexpected behaviours of people can't really be modelled; one month's behaviour X can't be modelled in terms of another month's behaviour Y unless all the variable factors are understood - which they can't be.
The way to do this, imo, is to publish a set of models based on different behaviour assumptions. This has a greater chance of influencing behaviour. Such models cam be refined in the light of actuality and thus avoid being ridiculed.
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Seph.
My advice is at your risk.
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