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Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
According to this, the peak was 15 July, Hugh.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...oint-expected/
[EXTRACT]
Yet there are early signs that Britain has already peaked – and has done so at a far lower point than anyone expected. On July 15, the country recorded 60,676 cases, and infections have been largely falling ever since. |
The difference is the Telegraph is reporting the Cases by specimen date peak on the dates the specimens were tested, and everyone else (I believe) is reporting the Cases by date reported peak date.
Anyway, another link to today's Telegraph.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-h...-cases-deaths/
Quote:
Data over the next fortnight will be crucial to identify whether the UK has turned a corner in the coronavirus pandemic - or if the last three days of falling cases are a "false peak".
Prof Adam Kucharski, an epidemiologist and mathematician at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told BBC Radio Four that figures from the last few days represent an "early sign" that transmission rates may be falling across the UK.
Cases have dropped in Scotland, for instance, since schools closed earlier this month - while warm weather and summer holidays are likely reducing transmission in England.
But he cautioned that it is too soon to identify whether this is a lasting trend, warning that "we've seen false peaks before". The next week or so will be critical, Prof Kucharski said, and could see a post-lockdown surge.
"Of course that change on Monday, that big reopening, has not yet shown up in the data. So I think the next week or two is going to be crucial to know if this is genuinely a slowdown of a potential peak, or if we've got more transmission to come."
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Last edited by Hugh; 24-07-2021 at 15:36.
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