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Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees
I wonder why no modelling has been released (perhaps it has and i haven't seen it) which shows predicted hospitalisations, deaths etc. on Aug 19th based on on 'Freedom Day'
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Maybe because it's hard to model cases on the likely behaviour of people suddenly released to "party". Even putting aside injury, if crowds behave differently to "normal" because of lockdown (i.e. closer, more "intimate", distant, less "intimate") and that impacts spread in ways we don't know.
There is probably a worst case scenario being planned for and Boris time and again has urged people to be sensible.