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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I think she's right. If she gets a majority after May - any sort of majority at all - then the argument about the legitimacy of her demands for a referendum will begin. The last thing she needs at that point is any excuse for her opponents to start looking at the actual level of voter support for the various parties at the ballot box rather than the composition of the Holyrood chamber. If the majority in the chamber is grossly out of proportion to the level of nationalist support at the ballot box, that will only serve to delegitimise her demands.
If the SNP can get a small, outright majority on 44% of the vote - as they did in 2011 - she will be happier than that than having a large nationalist majority in the chamber, but with no party having a clear majority of votes.
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