27-03-2021, 12:07
|
#4367
|
|
Sad Doig Fan!
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Barry South Wales
Age: 69
Services: With VM for BB 250Mb service.(Deal)
Posts: 11,826
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx
The experience from the Spanish Flu says yes, lockdowns work - https://www.nationalgeographic.com/h...ic-coronavirus (more formal study here - https://www.pnas.org/content/104/18/7582 )
On your second comment, it falls down when public health is involved unless society provides its' own healthcare service. It's governments role to keep us safe. It's why we have the police, army, etc. If suggesting and asking nicely to act safely doesn't work, then governments legislate. It's why we have speed limits. As I have said before, we in the UK are 'soft' when it comes to healthcare as we know that the NHS will always be there if we mess up. If that safety net weren't present, people would be a lot more careful!
Libertariansim like communism is a nice idea on paper but doesn't work in the real world.
|
From the study you linked to.
Quote:
|
This approach is supported by mathematical models, which suggest that multiple simultaneous NPIs applied early in an epidemic may significantly reduce disease transmission. A recent review, however, concluded that the evidence base for recommending such interventions is limited, consisting primarily of historical and contemporary observations, rather than controlled studies.
|
Meanwhile.
Quote:
Sweden, which has shunned the strict lockdowns that have choked much of the global economy, emerged from 2020 with a smaller increase in its overall mortality rate than most European countries, an analysis of official data sources showed.
Infectious disease experts cautioned that the results could not be interpreted as evidence that lockdowns were unnecessary but acknowledged they may indicate Sweden’s overall stance on fighting the pandemic had merits worth studying.
|
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...source=twitter
|
|
|