Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 16-02-2021, 12:41   #3740
OLD BOY
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Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1 View Post
I don't think that's correct, Old Boy.

Everytime a virus reproduces, there's another chance for it to mutate. Locking down, social distancing etc all reduce the number of times the Coronavirus reproduces and therefore diminishes the number of mutations.
I understand your point. But time is also a factor. The longer we delay transmissions, the more chance of a highly dangerous mutation materialising.

Anyway, that debate has lost its urgency now that we have a vaccine. The annual boosters can sort out the mutations until it dies off of its own accord, which hopefully, it will.

---------- Post added at 12:41 ---------- Previous post was at 12:39 ----------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris View Post
It categorically isn't correct.



This is, however, correct.

The clue is in the R number. R for Reproduction Rate. Lockdown reduces the R number. The fewer reproduction cycles the virus has, the few opportunities it has to mutate.
My point has always been that at the end of every lockdown, there will be another surge, so the number of times it transmits will ultimately be the same without a vaccine. The fact that this takes place over a longer period is my concern.
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