[tweetiepooh]

The whole situation is very complex and there are multiple factors and situations that need to be looked at. For example why are cases in India dropping the way they are, why in other areas are cases climbing, why are fatalities higher is some areas than others in some groups than others? Is there any way to correlate results for a population group in one country to a similar group in another?

There really are so many variables it does get really hard to make plans and execute them. A further issue is that with wide spread media and reporting small anomalies are inflated. Statistically that may not be that important but it is to those involved, at what point does policy change to cover that anomaly? Is it if the group is "important" enough, or makes enough noise, or gets enough media attention?

What really needs to be made clear is why policies are in place and for how long and what is needed to change that policy. If the reason for lock down is to prevent the NHS being overwhelmed make that really clear and that simply preventing spread/death is "secondary". Also that vaccination isn't a golden bullet that will stop all deaths or major illness it may reduce it to a level that is statistically acceptable. But that is hard to say if you are in the situation of losing a loved one as it appears uncaring.

And there is also the personal factor in all of this. Even if the government had the perfect policy in place, vaccinations all going fine, quarantines. It doesn't take many silly sods breaking the rules in a dangerous way to restart the fires again.