Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 03-02-2021, 13:29   #3352
Sephiroth
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbxx View Post
If the data shown in this tweet is correct - https://twitter.com/olivernmoody/sta...81400071860230 then there is a point in not giving older people the vaccine as it doesn't seem to work. Of course, more data is coming through on this
If you look at the top part of the table and express >65 year cases as a linear proportion from the equation X = (29/5466)*341 then X is 1.8.

If there was nothing special about the >65 group, then the number of cases expected from 341 candidates would be 1.8. So, with the number given by AZ = 1, the only thing we can say is the sample size is insufficient to be meaningful.

I think everybody agrees on that. So, any decision to exclude the >65s from getting the vaccine is a simple matter of judgement by the relevant authorities. My instinct is that the >65s will benefit because the number was 1 not 2! A proper layman, am I.

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