Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1
Often, it's what people don't say that's more important than what they do say.
I think this is true here as I don't see disagreement with jfman's prediction that Boris will fold.  |
I wouldn’t read too much into posting patterns on here. There are lots of reasons why people duck in and out. Sheer boredom with circular discussion would be one of them. People presenting endless newspaper op eds as evidence of the veracity of their own opinions when there’s actually no news is another.
By way of balancing the opinion pieces a little, Laura K over at the BBC warned yesterday that the gap between the two sides is still significant and there’s no reason to believe a last minute solution in traditional EU style is inevitable in this case.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55358554
And Katya Adler, the Europe Editor who at times sounds to my Brexitty ears like a full on regime apologist for the EU, is warning that the politics of fishing in the coastal states (and the UK) is such that no deal is looking increasingly attractive if the alternative is a muddy, convoluted compromise that nobody is happy with.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55358963
FWIW I don’t think a compromise on fishing is possible. It has become totemic, it’s just about the only euroscepic issue that gets any traction in Scotland, and both Boris and Macron have dug themselves some very deep trenches. Macron has already said there will be a financial compensation scheme for French trawler operators if they’re barred from entering the UK EEZ, which means he’s no longer shackled to promises of ongoing access that will come back to bite him when he goes for re-election in 2022. In my ‘umble opinion, the stars are aligning for No Deal.