[jfman]

Originally Posted by OLD BOY

You are being a bit dim, if I may say so.

You may not.

I don’t see why you are (allegedly) confused by the answer I gave last time. But playing your little game:

Will linear TV still exist in 2035? - yes.

Thanks Old Boy. It's only taken five years.

It will exist for live events, which must be obvious to all.

Well no, it's not obvious. DAZN, NFL Network and others offer ad-hoc events via an app. You could log on and between events find out that there's absolutely nothing there. This is clearly ad-hoc broadcasting and not linear, scheduled broadcasting. You could sit for 165 hours and nothing appear until the next NFL game arrives the following Sunday. Nobody would consider that linear, scheduled television.

As for scripted TV, I cannot rule out some minor scheduled TV content like Pluto on IPTV, but all the main ones will have died out in favour of streamed content. Pluto is very much a minority interest, but I think now with the increased prominence of VOD, they may take the view that it’s not worth continuing with linear at all. That’s the way I think it will go.

Why would Pluto TV exist but not, for example, a Comcast driven or BBC driven scheduled TV channels? Where the economics that says a minority interest provider can deliver it but not a major content owner for whom the pennies it costs to maintain a linear broadcast channels is a tiny fraction of revenues?

As far as DTT is concerned, even Freeview is now preparing to enhance its VOD offering. My own feeling is that the DTT offering will be replaced by 5G broadcast, but I agree that could go either way.

It's irrelevant really whether DTT is replaced by 5G broadcast or not. The purpose of 5G broadcast is to make more efficient use of the spectrum in the same way that DTT, satellite and cable have efficiencies - the same content is broadcast once to many simultaneous users.

I have given you the one word answer in bold, with an explanation of it.

And it's a clear and obvious shift from your original position.

As I have repeated time and again, that word ‘linear’ was commonly used to describe the traditional broadcast channels back in 2015, and I see this description still used today. You don’t seem to be able to comprehend this, although it seems very Jack and Jill to me.

I'm not accepting your goal post shift here Old Boy and there's years of you calling scheduled television as for the lazy and brain dead to prove this.

I am not seeking to persuade you, or anyone on here, that my view of the future is correct. I am simply telling you what I think. You are unpersuadable anyway because you are just argumentative. Others take a different view from me for particular reasons, and that’s OK.

You cannot KNOW anything that might happen in 2035. I don’t, and neither can you or anybody else.

The problem is Old Boy you are deploying this device here - I don't, and neither can you - to attribute equal weight to all opinions. That's simply not the case. We have people who work in the industry here. People who are looking at the economic realities and analysing the questions that you often shirk describing the answers as 'obvious' without any insight whatsoever.

But quite why my sharing my vision of it upsets some of you so much I cannot fathom. As you have said in the past, it’s just TV.

---------- Post added at 13:08 ---------- Previous post was at 13:06 ----------



What happens in the short term is not necessarily an indicator of what will happen in the long term. I never said these changes would happen immediately, I said they should have happened by 2035.

At least it's clearer now from the bits in bold that these are moving opinions rather than fixed beliefs. It'd be helpful now if you just stopped insulting those who disagree with you.