Cable Forum - View Single Post - UK & EU Agree Post-Brexit Trade Deal

jfman · 25-10-2020, 18:43

You might have a point if opinion was fixed. However it isn't - that's the point of political campaigning.

There's no real reason to suspect that - of the near 300 polls - those further back weren't genuine representations (subject to margin of error) of public opinion at that point in time.

I'm not sure how you arrive at the 40% figure or what relevance it has. No polls show it 70-30 that I can see on the chart. However you are aggregating the figures without weighting them merely increases the margin of error.

The polling around Brexit is clearly a success as it goes down the final stretch - both outcomes winning and losing within the margin of error. A perfect representation of a 52-48 result.

25-10-2020, 18:43	#4370
jfman Architect of Ideas Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 11,146	Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20 You might have a point if opinion was fixed. However it isn't - that's the point of political campaigning. There's no real reason to suspect that - of the near 300 polls - those further back weren't genuine representations (subject to margin of error) of public opinion at that point in time. I'm not sure how you arrive at the 40% figure or what relevance it has. No polls show it 70-30 that I can see on the chart. However you are aggregating the figures without weighting them merely increases the margin of error. The polling around Brexit is clearly a success as it goes down the final stretch - both outcomes winning and losing within the margin of error. A perfect representation of a 52-48 result.