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Originally Posted by Pierre
Lots to unpack here!
They’re not “Steadily rising”,....they’re going through the roof from around 450 per day in July to around 16,000 per day now. A huge increase, totally eclipsing the initial round.
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Apples and oranges of course, as we weren’t testing in the initial round.
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This is were it gets more interesting...are we talking hospital admissions? Because this were somebody has gone to hospital for any reason, but tested positive, tests positive whilst in hospital for other reasons etc.
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Probably all of them - I fail to see the relevance. The NHS has finite capacity and resource.
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Even so, I agree there is an increase, but it in no way correlates to the infection metric.
Not even close to April. The curve is a magnitude flatter.
Not really, they have risen, and gone back down again, again the death curve is even flatter and the correlation between the infection rate and the death rates, in any other setting you would struggle to assign a high level of risk to it.
It currently has a mortality rate of 0.5%, which is obviously higher than the true figure as the majority of people either don’t get tested or don’t even know they have/had it.
But at 0.5% it’s as deadly as none of the attached.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...and-month.html
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I’m not sure what your point is. 0.5% of reaching herd immunity is an acceptable death toll but 1% isn’t?
Those conditions also aren’t all contagious
---------- Post added 20-10-2020 at 00:00 ---------- Previous post was 19-10-2020 at 23:54 ----------
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Originally Posted by Mad Max
Well, here's hoping, jfman.  |
We are of course also getting better at treatments which is a factor in improving the death rate significantly. Another important outcome of the delay towards a vaccine strategy.
Although in part that depends on staying inside the resource capacity of the NHS.