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					Originally Posted by Mad Max  My point being ( and yes I should have said)   I'm wondering how high the infection rates actually were back in March / April, when we didn't have testing. | 
	
 Yeah, if we look at hospitalisations, we're at around 17% of the peak earlier in the year (I picked hopsitalisations as deaths is not a good indicator as we're getting better at treatment). Extrapolating to testing we would expect over 100,000 cases per day if the testing rate was the same back in March/April time. Yikes!