Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
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despite all that, he won the election and he is still within (or was, haven't seen the latest) the margin of error of the polling of his opponent.
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He is not within the margin of error and hasn't been for months.
This is an average for which MOE doesn't apply but if you assume a generous MOE of 4% the last time it was that close between the two was January 14th when the lead was only 4 points.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6247.html
Now polling can be wrong obviously, it would need to be a much bigger polling error than 2016 for Trump to win if this polling stayed the same, but that's what is is showing at the moment.