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Old 04-10-2020, 21:50   #6218
jfman
Architect of Ideas
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,146
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by Damien View Post
The problem the Government has with 'unless the figures increase' is that they do can do so dramtically with the course of a few days and the measurements to reduce that can take a long time to take effect. Look at the admissions for March/April. By the time we saw the surge it was too late and led to a month or so of very high admissions.
This is key. Lockdown/some degree of intervention is inevitable - all the way through to next Spring/Summer. The aim is to keep interventions short which means they have to be early in each spike.

Late interventions become longer interventions.
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