Quote:
Originally Posted by jfman
I’d say increased measures are appropriate given we have near exponential growth and test, trace, isolate has failed.
I’ve been banging on all summer about the inevitability of further restrictions if test, trace, isolate fails so this should really be a surprise to no-one who reads this thread. We need to know who has it, where they are and who is at risk from catching it from them. Without that information we are fire fighting in the dark.
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He's right you know.
There's no way we can know who has it unless we test
everybody, and we'd have to do that every week to ensure those negative last week were still negative the week after. Obviously there is no way this can be done.
All we can do, is to try to trace those who have been in contact with a person who has tested positive, and then trace on from those to whoever they've had contact with - which as we all know isn't as easy or clever as it sounds - and we're back to chasing shadows again.
If, as is being 'suggested', cases are rising at an alarming rate, the only real option left is to try and reduce contact between people and see if cases begin to level off.
Back in Feb/March we didn't have many of the preventative measures we have today, so we are already way ahead of the curve compared to back then, although with the colder months coming we are going to see a rise in the death rate 'with Covid 19 present'. Covid 19 may not be the killer, but it can (and will) be a contributory factor.
Nobody wants another massive lock down, but nobody wants to see another 10,000 deaths.
Let's roll with it and see where we are next month.