[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by pip08456

The logic is simple. During the onset of corona virus the Government set up 5 "Nightingale" units to look after the overflow from NHS hopitals during the epidemic, there were also 2 others set up slightly later.

The only unit to be used was the London one which had 200 full time staff for an eventual 51 patients during the time it was in operation. It then like the other 6 sites were mothballed but not decommissioned just in case.

So, following logic, if the Birmingham Nightingale unit is to be brought out of mothballing and staffed then it follows that it is considered the number of cases will be larger then when the covid epidemic began.

ERGO the alleged second wave will be larger than the first.

Pip,

jfman is probably right to question your logic. The B'ham Nightingale might well have been brought out of mothballing as a matter of prudence calculated on the local R rate but taking also into account that they want regular hospitals to do regular stuff. i.e. Covid to go to Nightingale.

There is nothing inherent in all this to indicate the scale of the second wave, if it happens.

You did say "will" rather than "might".