[jfman]

Zero evidence = the scientific modelling the Government - a Conservative Government - used to go into lockdown and making the largest amount of public expenditure supporting the economy that we’ve seen since the war.

The bad news Pierre is this situation will not unfold on the basis of what you consider “likely”. If you were right in your speculation the numbers wouldn’t be going up at all.

At least you accept “herd immunity” is accepting defeat, working from home the norm, social distancing encouraged like in Sweden and the economy tanking anyway.

There’s no evidence that hospital admissions will remain low, it’s pure conjecture, and in the absence of a functioning testing mechanism there’s no way to track or control the spread of the virus. Much like February the outcome is inevitable without any mitigation at all.