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Originally Posted by OLD BOY
Some, including jfman, say that we locked down too late, allowing the virus to take hold. It has been calculated that this resulted in the peak being not far short of what it would have been had we done nothing. If that is correct then it has probably brought down already most of those who were going to die anyway. That means there will probably be no second wave, unless of course the virus mutates, in which case anything could happen.
This would explain why other countries that locked down earlier have a second wave now - it is attacking those now who would have got it had it not been for the lockdown.
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That doesn't explain anything. The idea that Corona only kills the old and weak has long since been disproved, there's plenty of cases of young, fit people also dying from it.
Furthermore, you're comparing the death/hospitalisation rate to the infection rate. Just because a bunch of people died the first time around doesn't stop the virus spreading the second time around. This kind of attitude is going to cause further spread because you don't think it'a as serious as last time.
The virus hasn't eased off, it's just as virulent and deadly as before. We've got better at treating it but that's all.
We had
30 deaths yesterday, jumping from single-digits and the highest we've had in a month. That's not a coincidence.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY
On your second point about social distancing, etc, isn't that what we are doing now?
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It's what we're
supposed to be doing now, but as I said far too many people aren't taking it seriously. You only have to look around as you go to the shops, or visit a pub to see people who just don't care. If everyone did it properly, we wouldn't be having these peaks again.