Quote:
Originally Posted by 1andrew1
Absolutely get the issues although only Pritti Patel's calculator would calculate a 5%-10% uplift in GDP as suffering for it. 
I don't think it's impossible for BoJo to agree to a deal along the level-playing-field lines at the last minute. He stitched up the DUP over the border in the Irish Sea so he had form here.
How well he would honour such an agreement is open to question but he would probably enjoy stirring up the benchbenchers in the event of later confrontations with the EU.
It's the subsequent political impact of no deal outside the Conservative Party that would encourage a climbdown on BoJo's part.
He knows the chaos and negative economic impact especially in the Red Wall seats and the country is poorly prepared for such an eventuality according to the logistics and transport sector. It would hand Sturgeon a cherished majority and a successful vote for independence. Sir Keir would grill a confused BoJo every Wednesday before wearied, BoJo would hand the keys for No 10 to Sunak who would send a chastened Frost back to Brussels to sort out a deal aligning us more closely to the EU. From a position of weakness and even smaller population given Scotland's likely independence in the event of no deal. |
No point using anyone using a calculator when simple guesswork is involved.
Boris conceding to the EU will cause more grief than you can imagine . . Farage is waiting in the wings to lead his army once again if the need arises
Keir is all talk with no substance, and Sunak is too clever to get himself the keys to No 10 until after the dust has settled.
Scotlands likely independence has the same chance as trains running on time.