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Originally Posted by jfman
Entirely speculative. Avoiding a second wave means significant ongoing restrictions.
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Not really, restrictions have been eased since June and lockdown was lifted well over a month ago.
Thousands have been congregating on Beaches, pubs and rallies, infection rate has stayed steady around 1000 or less. It was announced again today that it has levelled off again after a slight rise.
The Manchester council leader on R4 today advised that infection rates in Oldham are double, yet hospital admissions have halved.
It was predicted months ago, and posted on here by me, that a second wave would not happen and it would be a plateau with the odd ripple, and that is what is happening.
As much as you would to see Rome burn, it ain’t going to happen
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No normal = entrenching the recession and mass unemployment. Consumer behaviour is, and will remain, significantly different. Once we are done an early, proper, longer lockdown and eliminating the virus (plus effective test, trace, isolate) will look like the cheap option.
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I’ve already said there won’t be “Normal“ but restrictions should continue to lifted and local fluctuations should be dealt with by just shielding the at risk groups.
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I do wonder who benefits from longer term instability. Those who speculate on the financial markets obviously, this is a once in a generation opportunity. And some of them get to work from home.
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I know who benefits from further lockdowns, no one. We need to be smarter.