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Old 26-07-2020, 10:59   #4705
Pierre
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Re: Coronavirus

Quote:
Originally Posted by ianch99 View Post
If this pandemic tracks anything like the 1918 one then yes, a second wave is coming in early October:



This is interesting reading:

https://khn.org/news/fact-check-is-a...avirus-coming/

It gives some analysis why this pandemic may not have the same profile as Spanish Flu but you never know ...
This is not 1918 and it is not the flu (as I am continually reminded). Although a US slanted article it says as much and advises

Quote:
The patterns in mutations and seasonality suggest that the coronavirus may not follow the wave patterns of the 1918 flu. Instead, the spread of the coronavirus may follow something more like a plateau, with spikes possible if social distancing isn’t adhered to fully.
I think that is more like what we are, and will be, seeing.

I certainly see no evidence for a large scale 2nd wave In the UK akin to April/May of this year.
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