Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
Indeed, and if there is no increase after thousands hit the beaches yesterday what does that tell everyone?
|
That we don't understand the virus well enough yet?
It is weird how it seems to be going away on its own. Also weird it's not going away in America where they are having a surge of cases.
My best guess is that lockdown drove the virus to such low numbers in Europe that it'll take a sustained period of people breaking social distancing for it gain a foothold again. After all, it doesn't transmit instantly. If I give it you at a protest then you're not also going to give it anyone at that protest, it'll take days before you can spread it, so you're not going to get exponential growth in one day of a mass gathering.
The 'R' number, that amount of people that one person can give it too, might be a lot higher at the protest if only a handful of people are spreading it then maybe that's a few handfuls of people that will catch it. Still small numbers.