[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by jfman

Manufacturing herd immunity by controlling the virus isn’t a viable option. Estimates put antibodies in anything between 4 and 14% of populations across the world - even heavily hit areas of Spain/Germany, at a cost of 50,000 lives (those we count) for us with no consideration of longer term health implications for those infected. And taken five months.

To get to 80% infected puts you in the region of two years of disruption and various stages of restrictions. Plus 200,000+ deaths. This without any evidence of long term immunity at all.

Economically that’s madness to drag it out for so long.

An interesting fork point. Opening up (not criticising it) in an unknown carrier situation (which is where we are), introduces a natural herd immunity path.

The buggeration factor might be that if this is an artificially manufactured virus, designed to defeat immunity, then we're all doomed-ish.

Logically, though, if we're doomed anyway we might as well open up save to the extent that the biologists cabn determine the true nature of the virus.

Complicated.