Quote:
Originally Posted by Pierre
I think it will just trundle along at its current rate. It’ll become less newsworthy. Hey, football will back in a few weeks, they can go back to talking about that.
In September it will still be like, daily death toll of 150, and the response will be “yeah whatever, going for a pint?“
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There's no evidence to support it trundling along at the current rate if lockdown restrictions ease. More people, having more indoor close contacts means more people exposed.
Unless they can reliably find and isolate carriers, quickly, to minimise risk to the population at large the outcome is inevitable. It's been seen all over the world.
What's different next time that will prevent it? Handwashing to GSTQ?
It's wishful thinking, just like "it's just a flu" in February and that Italy would get it worse than us because of multigenerational households.
Now with an adequate and reliable testing regime I'd agree with you. The numbers of people dying would be less relevant - the big questions would be what's the chances that I'm unknowingly carrying or those around me are? If people had a system they had confidence in then they would go for a pint.